Predictions
Milwaukee Brewers Priced at 15% With Baseball's Best Record
The Milwaukee Brewers hold baseball's best record and run differential, yet Polymarket prices them at 15% for the 2026 World Series. Our fair value: 21%.
Hyped and surging
All marketsBitcoin80,381-0.95%Gold4,328.00-0.13%Hyperliquid91.11-2.25%Solana108.51-2.95%WTI Crudevia USO153.82-0.96%Nvidia222.27+1.34%
Trending on CoinGecko
- ONE+77.56%
- BP+25.60%
- ZAMA+24.09%
- PENGU-0.83%
The Spread Game
An asset, a date, a price. Guess how far it moved. Within 5 points keeps the streak alive.
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On — it traded at —. Where was it — days later, on —?
Drag point B to where you think it closed
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Run over.
Latest calls
Mover of the day
StrategyMSTR153.92+16.39%30 days · 24h changeAlso moving
- Coinbase194.25+11.66%
- Ethena0.1990+9.40%
- Robinhood119.82+9.12%
- Morpho2.5300-7.56%
- Aave137.22-4.35%
Forex & CFD
Forex desk
EUR/NOK Forecast: 11.50 Bull Case vs 10.30 Bear Case
Norges Bank just flipped to selling NOK 176m a day as Brent hit $130.80. Our EUR/NOK forecast: an 11.50 bull case against a 10.30 bear case to Q1 2027.
EUR/GBP Forecast: 0.8800 Bull Case vs 0.8420 Bear Case
EUR/GBP sits at 0.8587 after the ECB hiked to 2.50% and the Bank of England held 6-3. Why the two-year gilt-Schatz spread pays sterling 28bp it has not earned.
CAC 40 Forecast: 8,900 Bull Case vs 7,300 Bear Case to Year-End
CAC 40 forecast to 31 December: 8,900 bull vs 7,300 bear from 8,141, as luxury stocks shed €252bn and France's 10-year yield now sits 9bp above Italy's.
Dow Jones Forecast: 58,000 Bull Case vs 46,000 Bear Case
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 52,093.11 on 15 September. Why a price-weighted index makes Goldman Sachs matter 4.6 times more than Nvidia, what Caterpillar's 1,483.8-point hole says about the rest of 2026, and the levels behind a 58,000 bull case and a 46,000 bear case.
Commodities
Commodities desk
Corn Price Prediction: 585c Bull Case vs 445c Bear Case
Corn settled at 527.25c on 18 September with managed money net long a record 414,460 lots. Our 585c bull and 445c bear cases to the 14 December expiry.
- Target
- 445.00
- Invalidation
- 550.00
- Horizon
- to the Dec 2026 expiry on 14 December 2026
Crypto
Crypto desk
Pendle Price Prediction: $4.10 Bull Case vs $1.55 Bear Case
Pendle trades at $2.71 after an 86.7% month, yet protocol fees fell 10.4% and no net tokens were staked into it. Our bull case is $4.10, our bear case $1.55.
Stocks
Stocks deskNvidiaNVDA222.27+1.34%TeslaTSLA364.27-0.53%AppleAAPL336.13-0.26%PalantirPLTR177.64+0.79%StrategyMSTR153.92+16.39%CoinbaseCOIN194.25+11.66%AMDAMD559.82+2.70%RobinhoodHOOD119.82+9.12%
Lennar Made a 52-Week Low of $76.43 on 3.5x Normal Volume
Lennar closed at $76.43 on 18 September, a 52-week low on 3.5x average volume, two days after Q3 results showed a 15.8% gross margin and 12% incentives.
Prediction Markets
All callsBroker reviews
All reviews
Spreadex
Spreadex Review 2026: the St Albans firm runs sports and financial spread betting on one FCA licence, quotes 1.4 on Germany 40 and discloses no revenue split.
Dukascopy
Dukascopy Review 2026: the Swiss bank quotes USD 35 per million per side but charges it in euros, so one EUR/USD lot costs USD 8.04 round turn, not USD 7.00.
Interactive Brokers
Interactive Brokers review 2026: its $2.00 FX minimum makes a 0.1-lot EUR/USD trade cost 5.7x Pepperstone Razor. Stock fees, cash interest, licences checked.
Trade Nation
Trade Nation is the only fixed-spread broker of scale. Its EUR/USD spread is 0.5 pips in the London session, cheaper than every raw-plus-commission floor on this desk, and 5.0 pips for one hour at 22:00 UK.
Saxo
Saxo review 2026: a $10,000 US share buy from a UK Classic account costs $8 in commission and $60 to convert currency, against a 0.25% FX cap outside the UK.
IG
IG review 2026: 110,100 leveraged traders, 13% of IG Group's active clients, earned 78% of H1 trading revenue, and 69% of UK retail accounts lose money.
