Predictions
J.D. Vance at 50% in the 2028 Republican Nominee Book
J.D. Vance is priced at 50.25% for the 2028 Republican nominee on Polymarket. Displayed YES prices sum to 134.5 cents, and our fair value for him is 44%.
Hyped and surging
All marketsBitcoin83,010-1.85%Gold4,328.00-0.13%Hyperliquid88.02-3.55%Solana118.22-2.92%WTI Crudevia USO153.22+3.30%Nvidia230.24+2.29%
Trending on CoinGecko
- SI+23.96%
- STRK+23.25%
- PONS-11.85%
- PUMP+19.10%
The Spread Game
An asset, a date, a price. Guess how far it moved. Within 5 points keeps the streak alive.
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On — it traded at —. Where was it — days later, on —?
Drag point B to where you think it closed
+0.0%your guess
Actual · your guess · off by pts
Run over.
Latest calls
Mover of the day
HederaHBAR0.1177+26.12%30 days · 24h changeAlso moving
- Aave145.57-4.99%
- AMD600.24-4.82%
- Morpho2.5500-4.60%
- Cardano0.2425-4.21%
- Meta720.28-4.17%
Forex & CFD
Forex desk
USD/PLN Forecast: 4.15 Bull Case vs 3.65 Bear Case
USD/PLN was 3.8998 on the 2 October 2026 ECB fix. The bull case 4.15 and bear case 3.65 bracket a base near 3.82 if the dollar impulse fades by December.
NZD/JPY forecast: 93.00 bull case vs 84.50 bear case
NZD/JPY is 88.71 on the 1 October ECB reference. Bull case 93.00 by 31 December, bear case 84.50, base 87.50. The year's gain was the yen, not the kiwi.
USD/NOK Forecast: 10.25 Bull Case vs 9.17 Bear Case
USD/NOK was 9.6006 on 30 September 2026. Bull case 10.25, bear case 9.17 into December, after a month that followed the dollar rather than Brent spot.
USD/SEK Forecast: 10.60 Bull Case vs 9.35 Bear Case
USD/SEK forecast to 31 March 2027: the 10.60 bull case is a weaker krona, and the 9.35 bear case a stronger one, against the 9.9701 ECB fixing on 29 September.
Commodities
Commodities desk
Canola Price Prediction: C$860 Bull Case vs C$720 Bear
Canola closed at C$811.30 a tonne on 1 October, 29.6% above December. The bull case is C$860 and the bear case is C$720 into the 13 November ICE expiry.
- Target
- 815.00
- Invalidation
- 720.00
- Horizon
- to 13 Nov 2026
Crypto
Crypto desk
Sky (SKY) Price Prediction: $0.12 Bull vs $0.06 Bear
Sky (SKY) last traded at $0.08950 on Binance. Year-end paths are $0.12 if the $0.095 high breaks on a close, and $0.06 if the September rally unwinds.
Stocks
Stocks deskNvidiaNVDA230.24+2.29%TeslaTSLA360.40-3.15%AppleAAPL341.26+0.06%PalantirPLTR188.70-0.51%StrategyMSTR156.47-1.35%CoinbaseCOIN192.05-1.57%AMDAMD600.24-4.82%RobinhoodHOOD116.55-2.39%
ON Semiconductor (ON) Stock Forecast: $110 Bull vs $62 Bear
ON Semiconductor (ON) closed at $84.89 on 2 October 2026. A $110 bull case and a $62 bear case frame the year-end, after the all-cash Synaptics revision.
Prediction Markets
All callsBroker reviews
All reviews
IronFX
IronFX's live retail contract is Notesco I Limited in the Marshall Islands, not the CySEC firm. The EUR/USD schedule and register, read on 3 October 2026.
easyMarkets
easyMarkets review 2026: Easy Forex Trading Ltd (CySEC 079/07) prices EUR/USD from 0.6 pips on the web ticket, with zero commission and a 25 USD minimum.
City Index
City Index's UK name retired on 12 September 2026. The StoneX book quotes EUR/USD at a 0.8 pip typical, and the 1 million trader line counts demo accounts.
Equiti
Equiti's retail contract is the Seychelles firm, not the FCA entity. EUR/USD Premier is $7 a lot on the London and New York typical, beside live peer schedules.
ATFX
ATFX review 2026: the UK arm takes no retail clients, the real contract is Mauritian, and its $7 Raw lot needs a $20,000 deposit that IC Markets sets at $0.
Deriv
Deriv review: its spec table lists 1:10,000 leverage on Step Index, a synthetic market Deriv prices and trades against. Costs, licences, client money checked.
