
PredictionsRange
September CPI Odds: The 3.7% Bucket Sits Above Fair
September CPI odds mark the 3.7% bucket at 41.5% into Wednesday's print. The Cleveland Fed nowcast is 3.60%, and 156 past misses put fair value near 21.8%.

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AUD/CAD forecast: the ECB fix on 9 October 2026 was 0.99315, up 8.53% since 31 December. Bull case 1.0250, bear case 0.9480, and base 0.9700 by year-end.
GBP/AUD forecast: spot is 1.8938 after a 6.6% fall in twelve months. The bull case is 1.9600 and the bear case is 1.8400, base 1.8750, by 31 December.
CAD/JPY forecast: a 112.50 base into December 31, measured from 110.98 on October 8, with a 115.30 bull case and a 107.50 bear case before the jobs print.
EUR/AUD forecast from the 7 October 2026 ECB fix at 1.6079. The base case is 1.58 by 31 December, with a 1.68 bull case and a 1.54 bear case if the gap holds.
EU carbon price rose to €82.32 a tonne for Q3 2026 CBAM certificates, €7.04 or 9.4% above the Q2 print of €75.28, published by the Commission on 5 October.
Cosmos (ATOM) is $1.94. A $2.44 bull case and a $1.40 bear case to 31 December 2026 sit around a Friday jump that still has no named primary-source catalyst.
Crown Castle stock rose 15.6% Friday to $79.64 after SpaceX's reported $8 billion deal for Grain's 800 MHz spectrum. The close prices a tenant with no lease.
FXCM's UK Active Trader Tier 1 is £2.00 a side per £100,000. Trade Nation is due to take that client book on 20 November 2026.
Alpari's public EUR/USD quote closed on Friday at 2.5 pips, a $25 standard-lot ticket. Its Pro ECN pages give three different readings of the $2.50 fee.
PU Prime review: the Seychelles register places the dealer at Office 1A, the usual footer does not, and just two client agreements render on the legal page.
JustMarkets review: the Seychelles Raw Spread account charges $3.00 a side, so one EUR/USD lot is $7.00 all-in on the live average read 8 October 2026.
Markets.com's EU page shows a 1.30-pip EUR/USD spread on 7 October 2026, not the homepage 0.0 line. Safecap Investments Limited holds the CFD contract.
Plus500's delayed UK EUR/USD quote was 0.9 pips on 6 October 2026, about $9 a standard lot, despite a zero dealing-commission line on its own fees page.