Predictions
Alaska Senate: Polymarket Has Peltola at 78.5%, Cook Says Toss Up
Polymarket prices Mary Peltola at 78.5% in the Alaska Senate race. She also topped Alaska's 2024 primary, then lost in November. Our fair value is 62%.
Hyped and surging
All marketsBitcoin84,571-1.87%Gold4,328.00-0.13%Hyperliquid93.85-3.17%Solana115.11-2.95%WTI Crudevia USO148.83+3.30%Nvidia225.51-1.47%
Trending on CoinGecko
- EDEL-6.48%
- NEAR-1.67%
- RAY+12.81%
- DRV+9.65%
The Spread Game
An asset, a date, a price. Guess how far it moved. Within 5 points keeps the streak alive.
0streak
0best
0/12played
Loading the tape…
On — it traded at —. Where was it — days later, on —?
Drag point B to where you think it closed
+0.0%your guess
Actual · your guess · off by pts
Run over.
Latest calls
Mover of the day
HederaHBAR0.0903-9.37%30 days · 24h changeAlso moving
- Dogecoin0.0928-7.87%
- Cardano0.2389-6.10%
- Aave138.96-5.41%
- Ethena0.2049-5.33%
- Chainlink12.37-5.21%
Forex & CFD
Forex desk
USD/KRW Forecast: 1,450 Bull Case vs 1,300 Bear Case by December
USD/KRW forecast: 1,450 bull case and 1,300 bear case by December, with the won at 1,365 after record chip exports and back-to-back Bank of Korea rate hikes.
AUD/JPY Forecast: 118.00 Bull Case vs 104.00 Bear Case
AUD/JPY forecast: the BoJ hiked to 1.25% yet the cross rose 1.5%, and the RBA carry gap is still wider than in January. Bull case 118.00, bear case 104.00.
EUR/JPY Forecast: 188.00 Bull Case vs 172.00 Bear Case
EUR/JPY forecast to 31 Dec 2026: the ECB and BoJ hiked eight days apart, the 125bp gap held and Tokyo has spent ¥27tn on yen. Base 177.50, bull 188, bear 172.
EUR/CHF Forecast: 0.9750 Bull Case vs 0.9150 Bear Case
EUR/CHF settled at 0.9462 on 18 September with the ECB at 2.50% and the SNB at zero. Our base case is 0.9550, bull 0.9750 and bear 0.9150 by 30 June 2027.
Commodities
Commodities desk
Cotton Price Prediction: 95-Cent Bull Case vs 72-Cent Bear Case
Cotton price prediction: ICE December settled at 82.87 cents on 22 Sep after USDA cut the US crop 3%. Our bull case is 95 cents and the bear case is 72 cents.
- Target
- 78.00
- Invalidation
- 88.50
- Horizon
- to 20 Nov 2026 (ICE December 2026 contract)
Crypto
Crypto desk
Derive (DRV) Rose 208% After Its V3 Plan, Two Days Late
Derive (DRV) rose 208% from its 14 Sep close to its 22 Sep close after the V3 migration DIP, yet the move began two days later as Upbit turnover jumped 125x.
Stocks
Stocks deskNvidiaNVDA225.51-1.47%TeslaTSLA380.12+0.32%AppleAAPL337.02-0.80%PalantirPLTR191.79+3.68%StrategyMSTR162.20-3.07%CoinbaseCOIN198.13-1.46%AMDAMD614.61-1.47%RobinhoodHOOD122.70-1.25%
Amgen (AMGN) Rose 4.3% Tuesday on a Sjögren's Phase 3 Win
Amgen (AMGN) rose 4.3% to $410.24 on Tuesday after dazodalibep met its Phase 3 Sjögren's endpoint, yet shares sit 6.2% below their close before Novartis's miss.
Prediction Markets
All callsBroker reviews
All reviews
Trading 212
Trading 212 review: 2025 UK accounts show £257m of its £277.6m revenue came from trading, not cash interest. The 0.15% FX fee is checked against three rivals.
FOREX.com
FOREX.com review 2026: the US arm pays 10% only on the first $20,000 of idle margin, charges $7 a side on RAW and holds 43% of US retail forex client money.
FxPro
FxPro review 2026: the FCA-licensed UK arm files as principal and market maker while the site sells NDD execution; cTrader commission is $4.01 a lot per side.
AvaTrade
AvaTrade charges $50 for every three idle months plus a separate $100 annual administration fee, and its own public cost table showed no prices at all.
Spreadex
Spreadex Review 2026: the St Albans firm runs sports and financial spread betting on one FCA licence, quotes 1.4 on Germany 40 and discloses no revenue split.
Dukascopy
Dukascopy Review 2026: the Swiss bank quotes USD 35 per million per side but charges it in euros, so one EUR/USD lot costs USD 8.04 round turn, not USD 7.00.
